Sao Tome and Principe vs Sierra Leone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
67.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sao Tome and Principe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
SLE
2 - 2
STP
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
STP
0 - 10
NGA
8%
18%
74%
|
37 | 84 | 47 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
GNB
5 - 1
STP
72%
16%
11%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
MUS
3 - 3
STP
34%
25%
42%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
STP
1 - 0
MUS
44%
25%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
SLE
2 - 2
STP
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
COD
3 - 0
SLE
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ZAF
4 - 0
SLE
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MLI
2 - 0
SLE
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SLE
1 - 2
MLI
17%
25%
59%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |