Santa Amalia vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
70%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
MON
84%
10%
5%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
3 - 1
GUA
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAB
2 - 5
SAM
25%
23%
52%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
UNI
27%
21%
52%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
VAL
65%
18%
17%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
ESP
0 - 1
VIL
23%
25%
53%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
MLL
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
LPO
3 - 0
VIL
14%
22%
64%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 0
VIL
30%
27%
44%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 2
HBS
78%
15%
8%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |