Santa Amalia vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
SAM
30%
26%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 0
PLA
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 2
VIL
19%
24%
58%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MIA
2 - 2
SAM
34%
27%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 0
PLA
58%
22%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 3
EXT
22%
26%
53%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
DBN
4 - 1
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
VIL
5 - 1
GRA
74%
17%
9%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
VER
0 - 1
VIL
21%
23%
57%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 0
AZU
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |