Santa Amalia vs UC La Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
42.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
GIM
1 - 0
SAM
33%
22%
44%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SAM
8 - 1
CDB
91%
7%
3%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ZAL
0 - 2
SAM
14%
18%
69%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SAM
2 - 2
HER
86%
10%
5%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CPG
3 - 2
SAM
5%
11%
84%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
UCL
2 - 0
CAM
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
UCL
40%
23%
37%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ZAF
1 - 2
UCL
31%
21%
48%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
UCL
2 - 1
GIM
73%
16%
12%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CDB
0 - 4
UCL
6%
13%
81%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |