Santa Amalia vs UC La Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
PUE
1 - 2
SAM
63%
21%
17%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SAM
0 - 4
COR
17%
22%
62%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ARR
2 - 0
SAM
55%
24%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SAM
3 - 1
AMA
39%
25%
36%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 2
SAM
60%
22%
18%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
UCL
1 - 2
CDZ
52%
22%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PLA
3 - 2
UCL
77%
14%
8%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
UCL
0 - 2
MOR
24%
23%
54%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CPC
1 - 0
UCL
81%
14%
5%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
UCL
0 - 2
CAL
20%
21%
59%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |