Santa Amalia vs Racing Merida City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
10.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 0
SAM
10%
16%
74%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 3
SAM
17%
20%
63%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 0
QUI
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAB
0 - 2
SAM
14%
18%
68%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
CAM
64%
18%
18%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Merida City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RMC
0 - 4
QUI
37%
22%
42%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 1
RMC
30%
22%
49%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
RMC
0 - 2
CAM
40%
22%
38%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDN
1 - 0
RMC
23%
21%
56%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
RMC
1 - 0
MON
77%
14%
10%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |