Santa Amalia vs Hernán Cortés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
14.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
SAM
14%
19%
67%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
4 - 0
OLY
86%
10%
5%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAM
12%
18%
70%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
RMC
77%
13%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 0
SAM
10%
16%
74%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
QUI
37%
22%
41%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 2
HER
36%
23%
41%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
HER
0 - 0
CAM
43%
23%
34%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CDN
0 - 2
HER
36%
24%
41%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
GIM
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |