Santa Amalia vs CF Villanovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
68%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
CPL
2 - 2
SAM
14%
21%
65%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 2
DPC
16%
24%
60%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 0
SAM
42%
25%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SAM
4 - 1
MIA
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
AZU
2 - 4
SAM
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
DPC
69%
20%
12%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 3
VIL
11%
21%
68%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
MIA
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 15 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
AZU
1 - 3
VIL
16%
22%
62%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 1
ASJ
79%
15%
6%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |