Santa Amalia vs Deportivo Pacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
UDF
1 - 1
SAM
34%
26%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 0
OLI
62%
21%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 0
SAM
64%
20%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 1
COR
22%
23%
55%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 2
SAM
35%
27%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
DPC
1 - 3
OLI
65%
19%
16%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
COR
4 - 1
DPC
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
DPC
0 - 1
PUE
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CDZ
2 - 1
DPC
44%
25%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DPC
3 - 0
ASJ
39%
24%
38%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |