Santa Amalia vs CD Azuaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
59%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
5º
15º
9º
41
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
38 | 71 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 71 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 67 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 67 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 66 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 61 |
6º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 38 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 35 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 27 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 25 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 29.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 67.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
SAM
69%
18%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
TRU
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 2
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
PUE
60%
20%
19%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CDE
4 - 0
SAM
70%
16%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD Azuaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
AZU
2 - 0
CAL
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
AZU
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
AZU
1 - 1
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 0
AZU
23%
23%
54%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AZU
0 - 2
CDD
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |