Santa Amalia vs Castuera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CAM
0 - 0
SAM
40%
25%
36%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 4
SAM
14%
19%
67%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 0
CAB
80%
13%
8%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CDN
1 - 0
SAM
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ZAL
0 - 1
SAM
25%
23%
52%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
4 - 0
CAB
56%
22%
23%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
ESP
2 - 0
CAS
65%
20%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
5 - 1
CDC
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
GIM
2 - 0
CAS
45%
23%
32%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAM
26%
23%
51%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |