Santa Amalia vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
67.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
AMA
3 - 1
SAM
40%
25%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 3
OLI
42%
25%
33%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 0
SAM
45%
25%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 1
MON
39%
24%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
EXT
1 - 2
SAM
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 2
CDZ
80%
14%
6%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PLA
4 - 0
ARR
11%
19%
70%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | -4 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 1
MOR
77%
16%
7%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CPC
2 - 0
ARR
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 2
CAL
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | -1 |