Santa Amalia vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
CDZ
2 - 0
SAM
59%
22%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 2
VAL
65%
20%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ASJ
3 - 0
SAM
44%
25%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 3
EXT
23%
25%
52%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 1
COR
26%
24%
50%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 1
AMA
35%
25%
40%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 2
EXT
16%
24%
61%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
DBN
2 - 2
AMA
55%
25%
20%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 2
JER
20%
26%
54%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CPC
0 - 3
AMA
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |