Saint Martin vs Bermuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.6%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.3%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
0.5%
3-2
0.1%
+1
2.3%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
11.7%
85.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
20.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24.6%
0-3
16.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
19.1%
0-4
10%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.2%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Martin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
PRI
9 - 0
MAF
91%
7%
2%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
HTI
7 - 0
MAF
90%
8%
1%
|
17 | 71 | 54 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
AIA
2 - 1
MAF
3%
11%
86%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
PRI
2 - 0
MAF
91%
7%
2%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
MAF
1 - 1
CYM
5%
14%
82%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
Bermuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
HTI
3 - 1
BMU
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
BMU
1 - 2
PRI
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
BRB
1 - 2
BMU
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
BMU
2 - 1
BRB
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
BMU
1 - 1
GUY
39%
24%
38%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |