Saint Martin vs Bermuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
1.5%
Win probability
0.17
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.1%
1-0
1.1%
2-1
0.2%
3-2
<0%
+1
1.4%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
9.7%
88.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.3%
-1
20.6%
0-2
21.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.2%
-2
24.6%
0-3
18.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
20.3%
0-4
11.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0%
-4
12.7%
0-5
6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.2%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.1%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Martin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
CYM
3 - 0
MAF
94%
5%
1%
|
14 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
DMA
0 - 0
MAF
94%
5%
1%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
MTQ
1 - 0
MAF
94%
6%
1%
|
14 | 59 | 45 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
GLP
1 - 0
MAF
93%
6%
1%
|
14 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
VIR
0 - 0
MAF
5%
14%
81%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bermuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
BMU
0 - 4
ATG
67%
18%
14%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2008 |
BMU
0 - 2
TTO
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
TTO
1 - 2
BMU
77%
15%
7%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2008 |
BMU
3 - 0
BRB
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2008 |
BMU
2 - 1
BRB
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |