Saint Martin vs Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
66.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+166%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Martin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
VIR
1 - 2
MAF
10%
15%
75%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
MAF
1 - 0
BRB
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | +5 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
CYM
1 - 0
MAF
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
MAF
3 - 0
CYM
8%
14%
78%
|
6 | 39 | 33 | +10 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MAF
1 - 2
VIR
35%
21%
44%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ABW
0 - 7
CAN
3%
8%
89%
|
37 | 79 | 42 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
CYM
1 - 3
ABW
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
BMU
5 - 0
ABW
74%
15%
10%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ABW
0 - 6
SUR
14%
18%
68%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
ABW
2 - 3
ATG
14%
16%
70%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |