Saint Martin vs Anguilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1411%
+491%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Martin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
MAF
2 - 1
BES
17%
18%
65%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
AIA
0 - 6
MAF
13%
16%
71%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
MAF
1 - 3
KNA
8%
13%
79%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
KNA
1 - 1
MAF
81%
14%
6%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
ABW
3 - 0
MAF
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Anguilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
BES
2 - 0
AIA
72%
15%
12%
|
8 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
AIA
0 - 6
MAF
13%
16%
71%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
AIA
1 - 2
LCA
10%
15%
76%
|
9 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
LCA
2 - 0
AIA
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
DMA
1 - 1
AIA
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | 0 |