San Marino vs Serbia and Montenegro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
66.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
SMR
1 - 0
LIE
84%
10%
6%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
SWE
5 - 0
SMR
94%
5%
1%
|
43 | 94 | 51 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
LIE
2 - 2
SMR
32%
23%
46%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
SMR
0 - 5
HUN
3%
12%
85%
|
44 | 87 | 43 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
SMR
0 - 6
SWE
8%
20%
71%
|
44 | 94 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Serbia and Montenegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
SVN
1 - 1
SCG
68%
18%
13%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
JPN
1 - 0
SCG
85%
11%
4%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
SVK
0 - 2
SCG
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
NIR
1 - 1
SCG
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
SCG
0 - 1
NOR
16%
22%
62%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |