San Marino vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.5%
77.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
17.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.7%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
UKR
9 - 0
SMR
84%
12%
5%
|
33 | 89 | 56 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
ITA
4 - 0
SMR
83%
13%
4%
|
33 | 94 | 61 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
POL
5 - 0
SMR
84%
12%
5%
|
33 | 88 | 55 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
SMR
0 - 8
ENG
6%
16%
78%
|
33 | 95 | 62 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
MNE
3 - 0
SMR
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 76 | 42 | -1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
POL
1 - 1
MNE
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
POL
3 - 2
DEN
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
MDA
1 - 1
POL
12%
20%
68%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
POL
2 - 0
LIE
86%
11%
3%
|
89 | 29 | 60 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
POL
5 - 0
SMR
84%
12%
5%
|
88 | 33 | 55 | +1 |