San Marino vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
1.4%
Win probability
0.15
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
+2
0.1%
1-0
1.1%
2-1
0.2%
3-2
<0%
+1
1.3%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
0.2%
0
10.2%
88.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.2%
-1
21.5%
0-2
22.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
25.1%
0-3
18.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
20.1%
0-4
11.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0%
-4
12.2%
0-5
5.6%
1-6
0.3%
-5
6%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2002 |
SMR
0 - 1
EST
18%
21%
62%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
SMR
0 - 4
CRO
11%
21%
68%
|
46 | 91 | 45 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
KNA
4 - 2
SMR
56%
21%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2001 |
JAM
0 - 0
SMR
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 80 | 34 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2001 |
SMR
1 - 4
BEL
7%
17%
76%
|
46 | 93 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
POL
1 - 1
BEL
34%
26%
40%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2002 |
POL
3 - 1
USA
40%
26%
34%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2002 |
POR
4 - 0
POL
69%
18%
13%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2002 |
KOR
2 - 0
POL
40%
24%
36%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
POL
1 - 0
EST
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |