San Marino vs Moldova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1999 |
CGO
1 - 0
SMR
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1999 |
GAB
1 - 0
SMR
77%
15%
7%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
CHA
5 - 0
SMR
23%
21%
56%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | -3 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
ISR
8 - 0
SMR
94%
5%
1%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
ESP
9 - 0
SMR
96%
4%
1%
|
48 | 97 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
MDA
2 - 0
SVK
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2000 |
MDA
2 - 1
LTU
47%
25%
29%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
ARM
2 - 1
MDA
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1999 |
GRC
2 - 0
MDA
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
MDA
1 - 1
TUR
24%
25%
50%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |