San Marino vs Liechtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
45.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
SMR
1 - 4
CYP
7%
14%
79%
|
17 | 56 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
SVK
4 - 0
SMR
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 83 | 66 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SMR
0 - 0
KNA
10%
16%
73%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | +3 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
SMR
1 - 3
KNA
11%
17%
72%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
SMR
1 - 2
FIN
7%
15%
78%
|
15 | 80 | 65 | 0 |
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ROU
0 - 0
LIE
85%
11%
3%
|
23 | 84 | 61 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 0
LIE
82%
14%
5%
|
23 | 75 | 52 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
LVA
1 - 1
LIE
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 56 | 34 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 4
FRO
11%
18%
71%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 1
LUX
6%
13%
81%
|
24 | 62 | 38 | 0 |