San Marino vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
71.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LCA
1 - 0
SMR
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
LCA
1 - 1
SMR
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
SMR
0 - 4
EST
6%
17%
76%
|
18 | 65 | 47 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
SMR
0 - 0
SYC
17%
19%
64%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MLT
1 - 0
SMR
80%
12%
7%
|
17 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
GRC
3 - 1
NIR
58%
24%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NIR
2 - 1
XXK
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
NIR
2 - 2
CYP
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
XXK
3 - 2
NIR
45%
25%
31%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CYP
0 - 0
NIR
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |