San Marino vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.7%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.3%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
0.5%
3-2
0.1%
+1
2.4%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
12.1%
85.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
20.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24.7%
0-3
16.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
18.8%
0-4
9.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.2%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
HUN
4 - 0
SMR
86%
11%
3%
|
17 | 83 | 66 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SMR
0 - 3
AND
25%
22%
53%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
POL
5 - 0
SMR
87%
10%
3%
|
18 | 87 | 69 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
ALB
5 - 0
SMR
84%
12%
4%
|
18 | 74 | 56 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SMR
1 - 7
POL
7%
15%
78%
|
19 | 87 | 68 | -1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
ENG
5 - 0
ALB
87%
10%
3%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
ENG
1 - 1
HUN
81%
13%
6%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
AND
0 - 5
ENG
2%
12%
86%
|
93 | 35 | 58 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
POL
1 - 1
ENG
15%
21%
64%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ENG
4 - 0
AND
91%
7%
2%
|
93 | 35 | 58 | 0 |