San Marino vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
65.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
SMR
0 - 7
RUS
13%
20%
68%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1995 |
FRO
3 - 0
SMR
59%
21%
20%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
SMR
0 - 2
SCO
4%
15%
81%
|
54 | 89 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
SMR
0 - 2
FIN
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1994 |
FIN
4 - 1
SMR
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
SCO
1 - 0
GRC
62%
24%
14%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
FIN
2 - 1
GRC
40%
26%
35%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1995 |
LTU
2 - 1
GRC
31%
27%
43%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
GRC
0 - 3
RUS
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1995 |
GRC
1 - 1
SUI
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |