San Marino vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
62.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SMR
0 - 1
LIE
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
FIN
8 - 0
SMR
84%
12%
4%
|
37 | 84 | 47 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
SMR
0 - 2
MDA
18%
23%
59%
|
37 | 73 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
HUN
8 - 0
SMR
82%
13%
5%
|
37 | 84 | 47 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
SWE
6 - 0
SMR
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 92 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
FIN
79%
15%
6%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
FIN
66%
21%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
FIN
8 - 0
SMR
84%
12%
4%
|
84 | 37 | 47 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
FIN
1 - 2
HUN
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
NED
2 - 1
FIN
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 98 | 15 | 0 |