San Marino vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.6%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.4%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
<0%
0
15.3%
81.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
19.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
20.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24.8%
0-3
14.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
SMR
0 - 2
FIN
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1994 |
FIN
4 - 1
SMR
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
GRC
2 - 0
SMR
87%
10%
3%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1994 |
RUS
4 - 0
SMR
90%
7%
3%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1993 |
SMR
1 - 7
ENG
5%
18%
77%
|
56 | 94 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
RUS
0 - 0
SCO
38%
25%
36%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
GRC
1 - 0
SCO
31%
28%
41%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
SCO
1 - 1
RUS
70%
19%
12%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1994 |
SCO
5 - 1
FRO
86%
11%
3%
|
89 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
FIN
0 - 2
SCO
24%
28%
48%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |