San Marino vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
66.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1991 |
SMR
0 - 2
SCO
5%
18%
77%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
SMR
1 - 3
ROU
4%
16%
80%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1990 |
ROU
6 - 0
SMR
92%
6%
2%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
SMR
0 - 4
SUI
13%
22%
66%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1991 |
BGR
2 - 3
SUI
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1991 |
DEN
1 - 1
BGR
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
SCO
1 - 1
BGR
61%
25%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
BGR
1 - 1
SCO
44%
28%
28%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
ROU
0 - 3
BGR
64%
23%
14%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |