Russia vs San Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.1%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.3%
2.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
RUS
0 - 1
GER
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1994 |
AUT
0 - 3
RUS
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1994 |
RUS
6 - 1
CMR
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1994 |
SWE
3 - 1
RUS
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1994 |
BRA
2 - 0
RUS
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1993 |
SMR
1 - 7
ENG
5%
18%
77%
|
56 | 94 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1993 |
SMR
0 - 7
NED
6%
16%
78%
|
56 | 93 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1993 |
SMR
0 - 3
POL
3%
13%
83%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1993 |
POL
1 - 0
SMR
94%
5%
1%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1993 |
NED
6 - 0
SMR
94%
5%
1%
|
56 | 92 | 36 | 0 |