Russia vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
45.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1988 |
RUS
4 - 2
ARG
17%
23%
61%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1914 |
NOR
1 - 1
RUS
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +8 |
| 05 Jul. 1914 |
SWE
2 - 2
RUS
75%
14%
11%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1913 |
RUS
1 - 1
NOR
65%
18%
17%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1913 |
RUS
1 - 4
SWE
54%
21%
25%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1992 |
MEX
0 - 0
COL
69%
21%
10%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1992 |
MEX
0 - 5
BRA
33%
29%
38%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1992 |
SLV
1 - 2
MEX
22%
31%
48%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1991 |
MEX
3 - 0
HUN
52%
26%
23%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1991 |
CRC
1 - 1
MEX
32%
31%
38%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |