Russia vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.6%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.2%
5-0
9.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
11.1%
4-0
13.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.8%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.8%
1.5%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1992 |
RUS
1 - 0
ISL
84%
11%
6%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1992 |
RUS
2 - 0
MEX
28%
27%
46%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1988 |
RUS
4 - 2
ARG
17%
23%
61%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | +3 |
| 12 Jul. 1914 |
NOR
1 - 1
RUS
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +8 |
| 05 Jul. 1914 |
SWE
2 - 2
RUS
75%
14%
11%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1992 |
LUX
0 - 3
HUN
10%
18%
73%
|
36 | 88 | 52 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1992 |
LUX
2 - 3
TUR
27%
26%
47%
|
36 | 73 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1991 |
GER
4 - 0
LUX
93%
6%
1%
|
36 | 84 | 48 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1991 |
WAL
1 - 0
LUX
85%
11%
4%
|
36 | 85 | 49 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1991 |
LUX
1 - 1
POR
9%
20%
72%
|
35 | 87 | 52 | +1 |