Russia vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
RUS
1 - 1
CIV
58%
23%
19%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
GRC
1 - 0
RUS
31%
25%
44%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
POL
1 - 1
RUS
33%
25%
41%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
RUS
4 - 1
CZE
39%
26%
35%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 3
RUS
60%
23%
17%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
NIR
3 - 3
FIN
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
NED
6 - 0
NIR
88%
10%
3%
|
80 | 97 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
NIR
0 - 3
NOR
18%
25%
57%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
ITA
3 - 0
NIR
78%
16%
5%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
NIR
1 - 2
EST
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |