Russia vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
RUS
2 - 1
GRC
73%
16%
10%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
FRO
2 - 5
RUS
3%
16%
80%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
FIN
0 - 6
RUS
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
SMR
0 - 7
RUS
13%
20%
68%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1995 |
YUG
1 - 2
RUS
89%
8%
3%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
FIN
0 - 0
TUR
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
SCO
1 - 0
FIN
67%
22%
11%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
FIN
0 - 6
RUS
24%
24%
52%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
FIN
2 - 1
GRC
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1995 |
FIN
0 - 1
DEN
22%
30%
48%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | -1 |