Russia vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
PRT
7 - 1
RUS
67%
20%
14%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
LUX
0 - 4
RUS
10%
19%
71%
|
91 | 36 | 55 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
RUS
1 - 1
SVK
70%
19%
11%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
RUS
4 - 3
LTU
75%
17%
9%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
RUS
2 - 1
GRC
49%
24%
27%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
LVA
2 - 2
EST
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
PRT
4 - 0
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 96 | 27 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
EST
4 - 0
LUX
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
LIE
1 - 2
EST
7%
16%
77%
|
69 | 15 | 54 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2004 |
EST
2 - 4
MKD
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |