Russia vs Slovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
RUS
4 - 3
LTU
75%
17%
9%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
RUS
2 - 1
GRC
49%
24%
27%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
RUS
0 - 2
POR
21%
23%
56%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 0
RUS
84%
12%
5%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2004 |
AUT
0 - 0
RUS
45%
25%
30%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Slovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
SVK
3 - 1
LUX
81%
14%
5%
|
83 | 37 | 46 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
SVK
0 - 2
SCG
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2004 |
JPN
3 - 1
SVK
67%
21%
12%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
CRO
1 - 0
SVK
67%
21%
12%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
UKR
1 - 1
SVK
48%
27%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |