Russia vs Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
8.4%
2.6%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
BLR
0 - 2
RUS
17%
23%
60%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1999 |
RUS
1 - 0
ISL
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
FRA
2 - 3
RUS
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1999 |
RUS
1 - 1
BLR
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
RUS
6 - 1
AND
93%
6%
1%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
EST
2 - 0
ARM
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1999 |
ARM
0 - 0
UKR
23%
26%
51%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
ISL
2 - 0
ARM
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
FRA
2 - 0
ARM
95%
5%
1%
|
70 | 98 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
ARM
0 - 3
RUS
17%
23%
60%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |