Russia vs Cuba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
15.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.4%
2.8%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
KEN
2 - 2
RUS
8%
19%
73%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
RUS
1 - 0
CMR
66%
20%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
QAT
1 - 1
RUS
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
RUS
2 - 0
IRQ
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
IRN
1 - 1
RUS
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
HND
4 - 0
CUB
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
CUB
0 - 0
HND
14%
22%
64%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
CUB
1 - 0
SUR
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
HTI
0 - 0
CUB
71%
19%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
CAN
4 - 2
CUB
85%
11%
4%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |