Romania vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
46.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ROU
0 - 0
LIE
85%
11%
3%
|
84 | 23 | 61 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
ROU
0 - 0
BGR
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ROU
2 - 3
COL
22%
27%
51%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ROU
1 - 1
NIR
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
ROU
1 - 0
SUI
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
MDA
0 - 4
UKR
7%
17%
75%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
POL
3 - 1
UKR
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
GER
0 - 0
UKR
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
UKR
2 - 1
ISL
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
BIH
1 - 2
UKR
25%
24%
51%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |