Romania vs Serbia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 Feb. 2009 |
ROU
1 - 2
CRO
48%
25%
27%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
19 Nov. 2008 |
ROU
2 - 1
GEO
79%
15%
6%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
11 Oct. 2008 |
ROU
2 - 2
FRA
29%
27%
44%
|
94 | 99 | 5 | 0 |
10 Sep. 2008 |
FRO
0 - 1
ROU
13%
23%
64%
|
94 | 52 | 42 | 0 |
06 Sep. 2008 |
ROU
0 - 3
LTU
81%
14%
5%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Serbia
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 Feb. 2009 |
SRB
0 - 1
UKR
34%
31%
35%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
10 Feb. 2009 |
CYP
0 - 2
SRB
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
14 Dec. 2008 |
SRB
0 - 1
POL
21%
26%
53%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
19 Nov. 2008 |
SRB
6 - 1
BGR
25%
29%
46%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |
15 Oct. 2008 |
AUT
1 - 3
SRB
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |