Romania vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
11.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
MAR
3 - 1
ROU
50%
20%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
ROU
3 - 1
ESP
27%
23%
50%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
ESP
6 - 0
ROU
83%
11%
6%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
DDR
3 - 2
ROU
32%
22%
46%
|
73 | 36 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
ROU
4 - 0
MAR
53%
20%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
CSK
1 - 1
DDR
89%
8%
4%
|
43 | 85 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
GUI
2 - 3
DDR
84%
10%
6%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 1962 |
MLI
1 - 2
DDR
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 1962 |
DDR
2 - 1
CSK
15%
19%
66%
|
38 | 85 | 47 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
DDR
3 - 2
ROU
32%
22%
46%
|
36 | 73 | 37 | +2 |