Romania vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1978 |
BGR
1 - 1
ROU
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
ROU
0 - 1
SUN
46%
27%
27%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1978 |
ROU
2 - 0
BGR
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
ARG
2 - 0
ROU
72%
19%
9%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
TUR
1 - 1
ROU
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
ISL
0 - 2
POL
18%
23%
59%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
FIN
0 - 1
POL
13%
20%
68%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1978 |
BRA
3 - 1
POL
71%
16%
13%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1978 |
POL
1 - 0
PER
79%
13%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1978 |
ARG
2 - 0
POL
65%
18%
17%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |