Romania vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
BEL
1 - 1
ROU
50%
25%
25%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1998 |
ROU
2 - 1
GRC
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1998 |
ROU
0 - 1
ISR
73%
18%
10%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1998 |
ARG
2 - 1
ROU
55%
24%
21%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1997 |
ESP
1 - 1
ROU
66%
20%
13%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1998 |
NED
5 - 1
PAR
72%
19%
10%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1998 |
CZE
1 - 0
PAR
55%
22%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
JPN
1 - 1
PAR
46%
26%
28%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
ITA
3 - 1
PAR
70%
20%
10%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
COL
1 - 1
PAR
50%
27%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |