Romania vs Moldova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.4%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.2%
2.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
ROU
5 - 0
GEO
89%
8%
3%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
YUG
1 - 0
ROU
65%
20%
15%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
SVK
0 - 2
ROU
21%
24%
55%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
ROU
1 - 3
FRA
33%
29%
38%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
POL
0 - 0
ROU
47%
26%
27%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
MDA
2 - 2
UKR
43%
25%
31%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
MDA
3 - 2
GEO
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
GER
6 - 1
MDA
93%
5%
1%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
WAL
1 - 0
MDA
83%
12%
5%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
MDA
2 - 3
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |