Romania vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
24.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1992 |
ROU
5 - 1
WAL
58%
25%
17%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1992 |
ROU
7 - 0
FRO
90%
7%
2%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
ROU
2 - 0
LTU
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
ROU
2 - 0
LVA
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1992 |
GRC
1 - 0
ROU
38%
27%
35%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1992 |
BGR
1 - 1
MEX
42%
29%
29%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1992 |
RUS
2 - 0
MEX
28%
27%
46%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1992 |
MEX
0 - 0
COL
69%
21%
10%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1992 |
MEX
0 - 5
BRA
33%
29%
38%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1992 |
SLV
1 - 2
MEX
22%
31%
48%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |