Romania vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16.3%
2-0
18.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.7%
5%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
XXK
0 - 3
ROU
21%
24%
55%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
ROU
0 - 3
NED
12%
18%
71%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
SVK
1 - 1
ROU
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 0
ROU
80%
13%
7%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
ROU
3 - 0
UKR
29%
25%
47%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
LTU
0 - 1
CYP
37%
24%
39%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
LTU
1 - 0
GIB
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
GIB
0 - 1
LTU
19%
23%
58%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CYP
1 - 0
LTU
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
MNE
2 - 0
LTU
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |