Romania vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1974 |
NED
0 - 0
ROU
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1974 |
ROU
3 - 1
GRC
70%
17%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1974 |
ARG
2 - 1
ROU
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1974 |
BRA
2 - 0
ROU
80%
15%
6%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
FRA
1 - 0
ROU
57%
23%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1974 |
HKG
0 - 0
JPN
36%
22%
42%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1974 |
SGP
0 - 1
JPN
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1973 |
KOR
2 - 0
JPN
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1973 |
ISR
1 - 0
JPN
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1973 |
HKG
1 - 0
JPN
33%
22%
45%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |