Romania vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1967 |
SUI
7 - 1
ROU
39%
24%
38%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
ROU
7 - 0
CYP
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1967 |
FRA
1 - 2
ROU
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1967 |
GRC
1 - 2
ROU
40%
24%
35%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1967 |
URU
1 - 1
ROU
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1967 |
ITA
1 - 1
POR
81%
12%
7%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1967 |
CYP
0 - 2
ITA
33%
25%
42%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1966 |
ITA
3 - 1
ROU
81%
12%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1966 |
ITA
1 - 0
SUN
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 1966 |
PRK
1 - 0
ITA
37%
24%
39%
|
89 | 9 | 80 | 0 |