Romania vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
40%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1939 |
ROU
0 - 2
ENG
33%
21%
46%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1939 |
ROU
4 - 0
LVA
68%
17%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1939 |
ROU
1 - 0
YUG
68%
16%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1938 |
CSK
6 - 2
ROU
73%
15%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
ROU
1 - 4
GER
42%
22%
36%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1939 |
HUN
1 - 3
ITA
53%
21%
27%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
YUG
1 - 2
ITA
38%
23%
40%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1939 |
ITA
2 - 2
ENG
60%
18%
22%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
ITA
3 - 2
GER
68%
16%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
ITA
3 - 2
DEN
77%
14%
10%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |