Romania vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
ROU
1 - 0
SUI
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ISR
1 - 2
ROU
39%
24%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ROU
4 - 0
AND
86%
11%
3%
|
84 | 39 | 45 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
BLR
0 - 0
ROU
21%
26%
54%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
ROU
2 - 0
XXK
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
NIR
2 - 0
DEN
10%
20%
71%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
FIN
4 - 0
NIR
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
NIR
0 - 1
SVN
36%
29%
36%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NIR
3 - 0
SMR
83%
14%
3%
|
75 | 16 | 59 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
KAZ
1 - 0
NIR
30%
27%
44%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |