Romania vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1964 |
DDR
1 - 1
ROU
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
ROU
3 - 1
MEX
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1964 |
YUG
1 - 2
ROU
85%
10%
5%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
BGR
0 - 1
ROU
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
ROU
2 - 1
BGR
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1964 |
IRN
1 - 1
MEX
54%
20%
26%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
DDR
4 - 0
IRN
51%
21%
28%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
IRN
1 - 2
IRQ
55%
19%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1962 |
IRN
1 - 1
IRQ
56%
19%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1958 |
KOR
5 - 0
IRN
53%
20%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |